Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -1400 MAN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -19.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -17.4 (-6.4) | 141.5 (-10.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -16.0 (-5.0) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -16.0 (-5.0) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -17.0 (-6.0) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#70) | -7.7 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#95) | -1.42 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#97) | -1.83 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#54) | 0.442 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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