Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -250 BRWN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -6.0 (+5.0) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -6.0 (+5.0) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -4.7 (+6.3) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.5 (+5.5) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#106) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | -0.04 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#115) | -0.15 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#115) | 0.508 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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