Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | COLU +500 HARV -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +18 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -8.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -8.9 (-9.1) | 141.0 (+7.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -9.1 (-8.9) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -8.0 (-10.0) | 141.4 (+6.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -8.3 (-9.7) | 141.3 (+6.7) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#344) | 0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#344) | -0.35 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#341) | -0.44 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#342) | 0.495 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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