Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | PENN +120 YALE -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -4.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -2.5 (+4.5) | 143.3 (-13.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -2.8 (+4.8) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -1.9 (+3.9) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -2.3 (+4.3) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | PENN 88 – 84 YALE |
| Feb 21, 2026 | YALE 74 – 70 PENN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | YALE 77 – 60 PENN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | YALE 72 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | YALE 90 – 61 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | 8.9 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#167) | 0.93 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#154) | 1.29 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#132) | 0.564 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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