Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -111 UCSB -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -1.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -0.1 (-2.9) | 145.9 (+1.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -0.5 (-3.5) | 144.5 (+2.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -0.5 (-3.5) | 147.5 (-0.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -0.5 (-3.5) | 148.3 (-1.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#140) | 4.1 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#145) | 1.03 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#126) | 1.22 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#113) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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