Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -1400 CP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +1 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -17.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -13.4 (-12.4) | 131.4 (-22.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -13.8 (-12.8) | 129.1 (-20.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -14.4 (-13.4) | 133.3 (-24.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -13.8 (-12.8) | 132.6 (-23.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 1-18 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 9-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#88) | -7.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#123) | -1.71 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#112) | -1.91 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.393 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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