Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB -163 CSUN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -4.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -4.6 (+10.4) | 128.5 (+2.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -3.6 (+11.4) | 128.3 (+2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -3.2 (+11.8) | 130.0 (+1.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -3.2 (+11.8) | 129.3 (+1.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#294) | -8.2 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#277) | -2.32 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#277) | -2.70 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#300) | 0.371 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.