Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -250 PAC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -5.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -4.7 (+3.3) | 159.1 (-5.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -5.3 (+2.7) | 159.5 (-5.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -5.0 (+3.0) | 159.6 (-5.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -5.0 (+3.0) | 159.7 (-5.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#186) | -0.26 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#158) | -0.25 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#219) | 0.463 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.