Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -300 TAR +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -8.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -6.5 (+3.5) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -6.2 (+3.8) | 148.2 (-14.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -6.5 (+3.5) | 149.5 (-15.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -6.9 (+3.1) | 150.7 (-16.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TAR 78 – 74 SUU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | TAR 62 – 59 SUU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SUU 106 – 105 TAR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TAR 75 – 58 SUU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TAR 74 – 66 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#107) | -1.0 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#102) | 0.22 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#111) | 0.22 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#88) | 0.518 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.