Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +150 NWST -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -3.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -3.3 (-2.7) | 141.6 (+28.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -0.9 (-5.1) | 141.1 (+28.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.1 (-2.9) | 140.5 (+29.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -2.8 (-3.2) | 141.2 (+28.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETAM 52 – 48 NWST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETAM 74 – 68 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | ETAM 69 – 64 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-12 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#306) | -1.2 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#280) | 0.47 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#293) | -0.08 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#275) | 0.530 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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