Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +188 UTM -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -2.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -3.1 (+5.1) | 151.4 (+0.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -3.5 (+5.5) | 149.8 (+2.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -2.8 (+4.8) | 147.1 (+4.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -3.3 (+5.3) | 149.2 (+2.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#344) | -5.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#348) | -0.74 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#350) | -1.07 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#351) | 0.469 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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