Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -275 LAM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -6.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -5.3 (-14.3) | 138.0 (-11.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -5.1 (-14.1) | 137.4 (-10.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -5.0 (-14.0) | 138.0 (-11.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -5.4 (-14.4) | 137.3 (-10.3) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#342) | -14.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#307) | -2.51 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#322) | -3.55 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#330) | 0.376 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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