Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MCN +120 SELA -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -3.2 (+6.2) | 145.7 (-10.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -1.7 (+4.7) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.7 (+5.7) | 145.8 (-10.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.2 (+5.2) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#337) | -5.9 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#354) | -0.41 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#355) | -0.88 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#296) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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