Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -175 PRST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -3.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -1.6 (+7.4) | 154.4 (+12.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.5 (+6.5) | 153.4 (+13.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -2.7 (+6.3) | 155.1 (+11.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -2.8 (+6.2) | 155.0 (+12.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#243) | -3.8 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#257) | -0.67 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#250) | -0.79 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#271) | 0.462 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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