Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -133 DETM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +5 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -2.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -0.9 (+4.1) | 156.2 (+26.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -1.0 (+4.0) | 157.9 (+25.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.6 (+3.4) | 156.3 (+26.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.2 (+3.8) | 156.3 (+26.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#216) | -1.1 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#167) | -0.83 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#173) | -0.62 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.457 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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