Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GB +500 OAK -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +12 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -8.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -8.5 (-3.5) | 142.6 (-36.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -8.7 (-3.3) | 141.7 (-35.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -7.6 (-4.4) | 143.2 (-37.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -7.8 (-4.2) | 139.9 (-33.9) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-17 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -18.0 (#361) | -5.7 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#359) | -0.73 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.75 (#360) | -1.03 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#355) | 0.470 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 27.6 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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