Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · February 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -5.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money LIN +240 / SIUE -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual SIUE +5 121 Lost
Massey SIUE -5.9 (+0.9) — —
Massey Totals — 137.1 (-16.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 23% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -5.2 (+0.2) 142.6 (-21.6) 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -4.7 (-0.3) 140.9 (-19.9) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -5.3 (+0.3) 140.5 (-19.5) 28% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -4.9 (-0.1) 142.0 (-21.0) 29% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SIUE 78 – 72 LIN
Jan 7, 2026 SIUE 66 – 62 LIN
Jan 31, 2025 LIN 65 – 63 SIUE
Jan 4, 2025 SIUE 58 – 47 LIN
Feb 16, 2024 SIUE 91 – 63 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN SIUE
Overall 11-21 19-14
Conference 6-12 9-9
Home 9-4 9-5
Away 2-14 7-8
Neutral 0-3 3-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.6 73.2
Avg Pts Against 76.1 72.1
Massey -11.2 (#340) -1.7 (#204)
Bradley-Terry -1.99 (#339) -0.14 (#188)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.31 (#331) -0.50 (#216)
RPI 0.405 (#336) 0.507 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN SIUE
FG% 42.0% 42.3%
3PT% 36.0% 32.0%
REB / G 32.3 36.4
OREB / G 8.0 11.0
AST / TO 0.80 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 48.1%
TOV% 20.0% 18.7%
ORB% 22.6% 30.6%
FT Rate 18.0% 28.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 19.9%
DRB% 68.8% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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