Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -400 OMA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -7.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -5.2 (+20.8) | 148.5 (-6.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -7.7 (+18.3) | 146.8 (-4.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -4.8 (+21.2) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -4.6 (+21.4) | 150.9 (-8.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#240) | -7.9 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#262) | -1.16 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#246) | -1.51 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#235) | 0.453 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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