Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | STMN +350 ORU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +7 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -10.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -10.7 (+3.7) | 152.6 (+30.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -8.7 (+1.7) | 151.9 (+31.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -9.6 (+2.6) | 152.3 (+30.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -10.6 (+3.6) | 156.0 (+27.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 18-0 |
| Home | 12-2 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-10 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#208) | 11.8 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#164) | 2.02 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#195) | 2.42 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.604 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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