Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -700 NOLA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +25 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -12.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -10.1 (+14.9) | 153.2 (-10.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.2 (+14.8) | 150.7 (-7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.3 (+14.7) | 151.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -10.3 (+14.7) | 154.4 (-11.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#263) | -14.5 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#239) | -2.74 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#247) | -3.24 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#208) | 0.386 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.0% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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