Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LR +110 MORE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -0.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -2.5 (+6.5) | 141.5 (-1.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -2.2 (+6.2) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.4 (+6.4) | 145.5 (-5.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -1.8 (+5.8) | 145.7 (-5.7) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 LR |
| Dec 17, 2025 | MORE 78 – 64 LR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LR 76 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MORE 59 – 53 LR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 55 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-16 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#328) | -6.0 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#344) | -0.14 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#345) | -0.52 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#352) | 0.502 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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