Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +100 FGCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -1.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.4 (-0.6) | 150.1 (-16.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -2.5 (+0.5) | 148.6 (-14.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.6 (-0.4) | 149.1 (-15.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -1.5 (-0.5) | 150.3 (-16.3) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#277) | -0.8 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#215) | 0.16 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#227) | 0.41 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#207) | 0.518 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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