Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +280 MRSH -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +18 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -11.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -11.3 (-6.7) | 154.9 (+11.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -8.9 (-9.1) | 155.8 (+10.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -11.3 (-6.7) | 154.4 (+11.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -11.3 (-6.7) | 154.7 (+11.3) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 24-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#292) | 8.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#261) | 0.99 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#280) | 1.43 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#253) | 0.561 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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