Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GAST -115 ODU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -0.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -1.1 (-1.9) | 132.6 (-9.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -0.0 (-3.0) | 130.2 (-7.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -1.9 (-1.1) | 131.8 (-8.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -1.0 (-2.0) | 133.2 (-10.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ODU 81 – 73 GAST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ODU 78 – 55 GAST |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GAST 76 – 70 ODU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GAST 97 – 75 ODU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GAST 68 – 65 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#251) | -0.1 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#274) | 0.12 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#265) | 0.11 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#281) | 0.521 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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