Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +175 JMU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -6.8 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -5.7 (+8.7) | 140.8 (+8.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -5.4 (+8.4) | 139.3 (+9.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -5.5 (+8.5) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -6.4 (+9.4) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GASO 96 – 92 JMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JMU 78 – 73 GASO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JMU 77 – 72 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JMU 80 – 74 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#226) | 7.3 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#237) | 0.69 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#242) | 1.20 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#230) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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