Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | LIU +600 FDU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -9.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -8.8 (+7.8) | 151.5 (+7.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -7.6 (+6.6) | 150.3 (+8.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -8.2 (+7.2) | 153.4 (+5.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -8.1 (+7.1) | 153.1 (+5.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -21.2 (#363) | -8.3 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#363) | -1.18 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.03 (#363) | -1.53 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#360) | 0.441 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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