Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -163 GWEB +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +13 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -4.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.0 (-16.0) | 130.8 (-21.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.7 (-15.7) | 127.7 (-18.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -3.2 (-16.2) | 130.1 (-21.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.8 (-16.8) | 131.0 (-22.0) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#147) | -0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#168) | -0.55 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#167) | -0.64 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#138) | 0.483 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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