Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -111 LT -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LT -0.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -0.1 (+3.9) | 142.0 (-14.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -1.4 (+5.4) | 140.0 (-12.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -0.7 (+3.3) | 144.5 (-16.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.3 (+3.7) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#217) | 1.9 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#161) | 0.18 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#190) | 0.16 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#200) | 0.515 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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