Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -163 MONM +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +7 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -7.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -3.1 (-10.1) | 130.3 (-15.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -4.0 (-11.0) | 129.4 (-14.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -3.2 (-10.2) | 130.4 (-15.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -3.9 (-10.9) | 130.8 (-15.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONM 82 – 69 STBK |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MONM 76 – 75 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MONM 79 – 69 STBK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONM 78 – 56 STBK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MONM 84 – 61 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#332) | -14.2 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#302) | -1.61 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#316) | -2.06 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#299) | 0.452 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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