Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NE +250 HOF -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +19 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -7.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -7.2 (-11.8) | 144.2 (-19.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -7.0 (-12.0) | 145.7 (-20.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -7.3 (-11.7) | 144.0 (-19.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -7.8 (-11.2) | 145.8 (-20.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#290) | 4.2 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#292) | 1.16 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#280) | 1.33 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#305) | 0.580 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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