Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -333 L-MD +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -11.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -8.5 (-2.5) | 135.0 (+11.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -7.1 (-1.1) | 133.4 (+12.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -8.5 (-2.5) | 135.7 (+10.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -8.4 (-2.4) | 136.4 (+9.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#229) | -10.8 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#272) | -1.85 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#265) | -2.28 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#266) | 0.403 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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