Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -250 NEV +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -4.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -3.6 (-4.6) | 150.8 (+2.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -2.6 (-3.6) | 147.1 (+5.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -3.6 (-4.6) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -4.1 (-5.1) | 151.4 (+1.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#41) | 10.3 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#23) | 2.21 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#24) | 2.56 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#23) | 0.631 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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