Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -133 SJU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -3.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -2.8 (-0.8) | 146.9 (-12.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -0.1 (+1.9) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -2.1 (-0.1) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -2.4 (-0.4) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SJU 92 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SJU 84 – 70 BTLR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SJU 78 – 57 BTLR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SJU 76 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 62 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#100) | 5.1 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | 1.04 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#97) | 1.41 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#166) | 0.516 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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