Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +350 BALL -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +14 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -5.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -5.4 (-8.6) | 144.6 (-28.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -5.2 (-8.8) | 142.5 (-26.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -6.4 (-7.6) | 144.4 (-28.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -5.7 (-8.3) | 145.0 (-29.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BALL 85 – 69 CMU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BALL 68 – 67 CMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | CMU 69 – 67 BALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BALL 82 – 80 CMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BALL 79 – 71 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#315) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#325) | 0.54 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#326) | 0.50 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#335) | 0.516 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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