Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -188 DAY +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +4 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.0 (-8.0) | 132.0 (-12.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.3 (-7.3) | 130.3 (-10.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.3 (-8.3) | 132.2 (-12.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.3 (-8.3) | 132.2 (-12.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#82) | 6.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#65) | 0.60 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#72) | 1.10 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#37) | 0.536 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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