Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -1800 VAL +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -14.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -13.3 (-7.3) | 149.6 (+6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -14.3 (-8.3) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -14.3 (-8.3) | 149.6 (+6.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -14.2 (-8.2) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BRAD 90 – 84 VAL |
| Feb 19, 2026 | VAL 79 – 72 BRAD |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BRAD 72 – 65 VAL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BRAD 70 – 65 VAL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRAD 76 – 65 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#74) | -2.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#59) | -0.37 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#71) | -0.47 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#48) | 0.469 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 46.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.