Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -225 PV +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +15 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -2.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -0.8 (-15.8) | 139.5 (+23.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.1 (-16.1) | 138.1 (+24.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -1.3 (-16.3) | 136.1 (+26.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.6 (-16.6) | 137.2 (+25.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PV 70 – 59 TXSO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TXSO 80 – 68 PV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 63 PV |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 78 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#298) | -6.3 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#297) | -1.56 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#304) | -1.84 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#290) | 0.412 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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