Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LONG -700 CHSO +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -11.1 (-23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -8.3 (-20.3) | 142.6 (-4.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -10.5 (-22.5) | 141.4 (-3.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -8.4 (-20.4) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -8.7 (-20.7) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#137) | -5.8 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#177) | -1.63 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#179) | -1.85 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#170) | 0.414 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.