Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -800 SBU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -11.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -9.8 (-12.8) | 134.4 (-15.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -9.2 (-12.2) | 130.0 (-11.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -11.3 (-14.3) | 132.6 (-13.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -10.5 (-13.5) | 133.1 (-14.1) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | VCU 89 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | VCU 76 – 59 SBU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VCU 75 – 61 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SBU 77 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | SBU 67 – 62 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#77) | -0.8 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#58) | -0.21 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#76) | -0.11 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#34) | 0.496 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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