Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -700 SC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -14.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -10.8 (-7.8) | 135.2 (+23.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -8.7 (-5.7) | 137.5 (+21.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -10.5 (-7.5) | 134.3 (+24.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -10.9 (-7.9) | 135.5 (+23.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#114) | -7.2 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#93) | -0.28 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#85) | -0.72 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#120) | 0.472 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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