Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -333 HCU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -11.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -8.9 (-7.9) | 146.3 (+6.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -9.8 (-8.8) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -8.6 (-7.6) | 147.6 (+5.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -8.5 (-7.5) | 148.8 (+4.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | HCU 69 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HCU 81 – 70 ETAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ETAM 63 – 59 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HCU 83 – 79 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ETAM 98 – 85 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#303) | -15.2 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#287) | -2.31 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#298) | -2.85 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#287) | 0.391 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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