Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -225 WEB +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -6.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -5.2 (-1.2) | 135.8 (+10.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -4.3 (-0.3) | 134.8 (+11.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -5.9 (-1.9) | 137.5 (+8.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -5.5 (-1.5) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | EWU 84 – 79 WEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 WEB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | WEB 91 – 80 EWU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#146) | -1.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#124) | -0.22 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#132) | -0.56 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.475 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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