Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -700 PAC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +6 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -11.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -10.1 (-16.1) | 158.6 (+25.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.9 (-18.9) | 159.7 (+24.3) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.9 (-16.9) | 157.9 (+26.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -11.1 (-17.1) | 158.4 (+25.6) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 6-3 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#86) | -2.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#59) | -0.52 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#58) | -0.60 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#64) | 0.456 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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