Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +260 NICH -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -3.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.7 (+4.7) | 146.2 (-10.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.6 (+5.6) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.5 (+4.5) | 144.0 (-8.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.6 (+4.6) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#348) | -5.2 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#325) | -0.59 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#332) | -0.88 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#344) | 0.483 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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