Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +260 SEMO -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +11 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -3.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -2.9 (-8.1) | 151.3 (-4.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.5 (-7.5) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.9 (-8.1) | 148.6 (-1.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.9 (-8.1) | 150.3 (-3.3) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EIU 75 – 57 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#336) | -3.9 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#339) | -0.60 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#339) | -0.95 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#348) | 0.480 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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