Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NWST -1200 LAM +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -18.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -15.5 (-0.5) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -13.7 (+1.3) | 143.3 (+1.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -13.8 (+1.2) | 144.6 (+0.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -14.9 (+0.1) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | NWST 70 – 68 LAM |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LAM 76 – 61 NWST |
| Feb 18, 2025 | LAM 75 – 65 NWST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | LAM 69 – 59 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 10-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -15.8 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#139) | -2.74 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#192) | -3.89 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#133) | 0.348 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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