Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -350 MCN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -11.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -9.6 (+1.4) | 148.4 (+6.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.8 (+2.2) | 146.6 (+8.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -9.2 (+1.8) | 150.2 (+4.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -9.1 (+1.9) | 151.8 (+3.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#226) | -10.4 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#261) | -2.28 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#244) | -2.89 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#265) | 0.438 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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