Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -1400 SCST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -15.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -12.7 (+1.3) | 151.9 (-1.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -12.1 (+1.9) | 151.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -12.4 (+1.6) | 155.7 (-5.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -13.0 (+1.0) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#204) | -13.4 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#145) | -2.38 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#145) | -3.37 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#146) | 0.384 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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