Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +175 MORG -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -5.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -5.0 (+7.0) | 145.0 (-19.0) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -5.2 (+7.2) | 142.0 (-16.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -5.4 (+7.4) | 143.0 (-17.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -5.3 (+7.3) | 145.7 (-19.7) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 4-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#353) | -5.3 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#354) | -0.12 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#358) | -0.62 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#345) | 0.517 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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