Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -110 ALST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -1.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALST -0.5 (+2.5) | 145.0 (-19.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -0.1 (+1.9) | 142.9 (-16.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALST -0.1 (+2.1) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.0 (+2.0) | 141.7 (-15.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | BCU 82 – 71 ALST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BCU 69 – 54 ALST |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BCU 70 – 68 ALST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BCU 67 – 64 ALST |
| Feb 27, 2024 | BCU 90 – 84 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -14.6 (#354) | -12.1 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#341) | -1.67 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#345) | -2.10 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#356) | 0.408 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 36.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.